How the World Works

Global warming versus a bad economy

So much for the first serious attempt to pass a cap-and-trade bill aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act is dead, at least for now. On Friday morning, Democratic senators were unable to muster the 60 votes necessary to end a Republican filibuster.

Four Democratic senators voted with the Republicans: Louisiana's Mary Landrieu, North Dakota's Tim Johnson, South Dakota's Byron Dorgan, and Ohio's Sherrod Brown. Landrieu's vote is explained by Louisiana's extensive energy industry infrastructure. How the World Works is unsure why the Dakotas are a hotbed of anti-cap-and-trade sentiment -- but perhaps we can blame the billions of barrels of oil supposedly ready to be pumped out of the Bakken shale formation.

But what about Sherrod Brown? What does his vote signify?

Brown is one of the most liberal voices in Congress -- as Stephen Koff, blogging at Cleveland.com, observes, he has been "one of Washington's most outspoken critics of oil companies, pharmaceutical companies and corporations that sought higher profits at the expense of workers and the environment." He's also been one of the most prominent voices of anti-trade economic populism.

But he's been lobbied heavily, writes Koff, by corporations and trade groups "representing Ohio's steel, glass, chemical and other heavy industries," who fear higher energy prices as a result of a cap-and-trade bill. And in Ohio, one of the most economically hard-hit states in the nation, that argument may have been compelling.

Hard economic times are going to affect the calculus of global warming politics. The worse the economy performs, the more difficult it will be to pass any kind of legislation that threatens to raise energy costs. And while How the World Works has a lot of sympathy for those who argue that Republican scare-mongering about the economic impact of restricting emissions is grossly exaggerated, still, there's no question but that the entire point of cap-and-trade legislation is to make certain kinds of industrial activity more expensive. Ideally, Congress could compensate for the negative effect of such measures by bolstering safety nets and redistributing wealth, but pushing through such measures will require a different occupant of the White House and significant increases in Democratic congressional majorities.

Perhaps the reason why neither Barack Obama nor John McCain bothered to cast a vote in today's cloture motion -- even though both are on record as supporting the Lieberman-Warner bill -- is because they knew that there weren't enough votes to stop the filibuster, even with their help.

Or maybe they've got one eye on the all-important swing state of Ohio, where, if Sherrod Brown's vote tells us anything, economically stressed voters care more about the price of gas than the temperature of the planet.

Posted in: Climate Change

A name China scholars will remember
John "Beginning Chinese" DeFrancis passes away. Who knew he once tangled with Senator Joe McCarthy?
Obama: "A clean break from a troubled past"
The president-elect makes his case to the nation for immediate action on the economy. Let's hope Senate Republicans were listening.
Even Wal-Mart gets the blues
Cutbacks in discretionary spending take their toll, even at the "low-price leader"
How humans cooled the earth -- 500 years ago
After pandemics caused a mass die-off in the New World, farmland turned to forest and temperatures dropped

About How the World Works

A conversation about globalization.

Recent Posts

Obama: "A clean break from a troubled past"
The president-elect makes his case to the nation for immediate action on the economy. Let's hope Senate Republicans were listening.
Even Wal-Mart gets the blues
Cutbacks in discretionary spending take their toll, even at the "low-price leader"
How humans cooled the earth -- 500 years ago
After pandemics caused a mass die-off in the New World, farmland turned to forest and temperatures dropped

Full Archive

RSS Feed

Posts by date

January 2009
SuMoTuWeThFrSa
123
45678910
11121314151617
18192021222324
25262728293031

Comments?

You can e-mail me directly at aleonard@salon.com. But to join the conversation with your comments, please use our letters to the editor feature at the bottom of each article.